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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2023 at 6pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Istanbul Basaksehir

Fenerbahce
4 - 0
Istanbul

Djiku (5'), Duarte (10' og.), Szymanski (20', 80')
Kahveci (39'), Djiku (67'), Szymanski (71'), Oosterwolde (76')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Figueiredo (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fenerbahce 3-0 Istanbul Basaksehir

While Fenerbahce have conceded three goals across five Super Lig victories this season, Istanbul Basaksehir have scored three goals while suffering four defeats. With that in mind, we expect the Yellow Canaries to cruise to another comfortable win on home soil, piling more pressure on Atan and his players. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.83%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.68%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
66.83% (0.084999999999994 0.08) 18.66% (0.071000000000002 0.07) 14.51% (-0.155 -0.15)
Both teams to score 54.92% (-0.692 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.15% (-0.694 -0.69)37.85% (0.693 0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.9% (-0.745 -0.74)60.1% (0.746 0.75)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.52% (-0.172 -0.17)10.48% (0.173 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.89% (-0.386 -0.39)34.11% (0.386 0.39)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.35% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65)38.65% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.61% (-0.627 -0.63)75.39% (0.627 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 66.83%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 14.51%
    Draw 18.66%
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-0 @ 10.3% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.13% (0.236 0.24)
3-0 @ 7.75% (0.09 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.37% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.37% (0.019 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.16% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.084 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.98% (-0.063 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.97% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 4.63%
Total : 66.83%
1-1 @ 8.68% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.05% (0.133 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.66%
1-2 @ 4.13% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
0-1 @ 3.85% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 1.83% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.51%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Istanbul

Fenerbahce
87.5%
Draw
9.4%
Istanbul Basaksehir
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 6.45pm
Final
Fenerbahce
2-0
Istanbul
Batshuayi (1', 29')
Zajc (14'), Aziz (88')

Turuc (67'), Paulin Keny (88')
Apr 19, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 30
Istanbul
1-2
Fenerbahce
Aleksic (30')
Pedro (88', 90+3')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
Feb 5, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 24
Fenerbahce
0-1
Istanbul

Crespo (24'), Ozer (38'), Berisha (72')
Ozcan (61')
Turuc (39'), Cigerci (51'), Duarte (69'), Ozcan (75')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 5
Istanbul
2-0
Fenerbahce
Okaka (16'), Gulbrandsen (90')

Gustavo (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray32265182315183
2Fenerbahce32236380324875
3Samsunspor331761050381257
4BesiktasBesiktas321510749321755
5Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul32156115445951
6EyupsporEyupspor33148114941850
7TrabzonsporTrabzonspor3212101053401346
8Goztepe SKGoztepe SK3212101053401346
9KasimpasaKasimpasa32101395456-243
10KonyasporKonyaspor33127144145-443
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor32127133555-2043
12GaziantepGaziantep32126144145-442
13KayserisporKayserispor321011114050-1041
14Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor32124163850-1240
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor3298153748-1135
16SivassporSivasspor3397174457-1334
17Bodrumspor3297162437-1334
18Hatayspor3247213566-3119
19Adana Demirspor3224262879-51-2


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