Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Basel had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Basel win was 0-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
