Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Belenenses and Machico.
More game data and we say below the videos
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 55.16%. A win for Machico had a probability of 22.87% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Machico win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Machico |
55.16% ( 0.63) | 21.97% ( -0.4) | 22.87% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.38% ( 1.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
