MX23RW : Sunday, October 29 05:04:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Volendam
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Excelsior
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Vitesse
AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 3
Sep 28, 2023 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion
Heracles Almelo
AZ
1 - 1
Heracles
Pavlidis (13')
Sadiq (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ouahim (53')
De Keersmaecker (56'), Bakboord (82'), Vejinovic (89')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and Heracles, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-3 AZ
Sunday, September 24 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 2-2 Heracles
Saturday, September 23 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Heracles

With two wins already under their belt this season, Heracles can afford to play with a certain level of freedom at one of the title contenders. Nevertheless, we expect AZ to cruise to a routine win, further showcasing their credentials to push Feyenoord all the way. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 65.31%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 15.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
65.31% (-0.706 -0.71) 18.9% (0.225 0.23) 15.78% (0.475 0.48)
Both teams to score 57.36% (0.354 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.75% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)36.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.63% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)58.36% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.59% (-0.206 -0.21)10.41% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.05% (-0.455 -0.45)33.95% (0.449 0.45)
Heracles Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.02% (0.537 0.54)35.98% (-0.54300000000001 -0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.24% (0.545 0.54)72.76% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)
Score Analysis
    AZ Alkmaar 65.31%
    Heracles 15.78%
    Draw 18.9%
AZ AlkmaarDrawHeracles
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.58% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-0 @ 8.47% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.23% (-0.154 -0.15)
4-1 @ 4.18% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 4.09% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.78% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.14%
5-1 @ 1.89% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.85% (-0.072 -0.07)
5-2 @ 0.97% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 65.31%
1-1 @ 8.66% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.9%
1-2 @ 4.43% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.83% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.51% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 15.78%

How you voted: AZ vs Heracles

AZ Alkmaar
94.9%
Draw
5.1%
Heracles
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
AZ
2-1
Heracles
Reijnders (25'), Pavlidis (48')
Sep 19, 2021 3.45pm
Gameweek 5
Heracles
3-2
AZ
Sierhuis (45+1'), Burgzorg (72'), Vloet (90+3')
Vloet (49'), Quagliata (50'), Burgzorg (50')
Gudmundsson (19'), Reijnders (89')
Midtsjo (90+2')
Clasie (45')
May 16, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 34
AZ
5-0
Heracles
Boadu (41', 74'), Karlsson (50', 57'), Wijndal (87')
Leeuwin (80'), Bizot (90')

Fadiga (58'), Knoester (76')
Nov 29, 2020 3.45pm
Gameweek 10
Heracles
1-2
AZ
Schoofs (75')
Bakis (69'), Quagliata (86')
Koopmeiners (41' pen.), Boadu (44')
De Wit (66')
Apr 11, 2020 6.45pm
Gameweek 30
Heracles
P-P
AZ
rhs 2.0
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Sinner
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV99003032727
2AZ AlkmaarAZ98102542125
3Feyenoord97203262623
4FC Twente97111961322
5Go Ahead Eagles104331715215
6Sparta RotterdamSparta104331213-115
7SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior93421615113
8Heracles103341422-812
9PEC Zwolle103251217-511
10Heerenveen103161321-810
11Fortuna SittardSittard10244817-910
12NECNijmegen92341416-29
13RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk9306717-109
14Almere CityAlmere City10235819-119
15Vitesse10226716-98
16FC UtrechtUtrecht10217820-127
17Ajax71241116-55
18FC VolendamVolendam8116818-104

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