Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Basel had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.