Coverage of the Coppa Italia Preliminary Round clash between Bari and Calcio Padova.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cittadella 2-2 Bari
Sunday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A Playoffs
Sunday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Serie A Playoffs
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ascoli | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bari | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Benevento | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Calcio Padova 0-2 Alessandria
Sunday, August 8 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia
Sunday, August 8 at 7.30pm in Coppa Italia
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Calcio Padova had a probability of 34.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Calcio Padova win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Calcio Padova |
37.8% ( 0.08) | 27.83% ( -0.02) | 34.38% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
