Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 63.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 63.42% | 20.58% | 16% |
| Both teams to score 51.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.34% | 43.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.95% | 66.05% |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.89% | 13.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.25% | 39.74% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.71% | 40.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.08% | 76.91% |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-0 @ 10.9% 1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.38% 3-1 @ 6.71% 4-0 @ 3.75% 4-1 @ 3.41% 3-2 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.55% 5-0 @ 1.52% 5-1 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.1% Total : 63.42% | 1-1 @ 9.76% 0-0 @ 5.28% 2-2 @ 4.51% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.58% | 0-1 @ 4.8% 1-2 @ 4.44% 0-2 @ 2.18% 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.87% Total : 16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Partick ThistlePartick | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 20 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Dundee | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 17 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 17 |
| 6 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 17 |
| 7 | Raith Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Cove Rangers | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 10 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -8 | 7 |
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