Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 48.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.31%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
