Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Kalmar and Elfsborg.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AIK 1-0 Kalmar
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Sunday, July 17 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Mjallby AIF | 15 | 2 | 23 |
7 | Kalmar | 14 | 4 | 21 |
8 | IFK Goteborg | 14 | 1 | 21 |
Last Game: Molde 4-1 Elfsborg
Thursday, July 21 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 21 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Sirius | 15 | -5 | 21 |
10 | Elfsborg | 14 | 8 | 20 |
11 | IFK Norrkoping | 14 | -1 | 16 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kalmar win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kalmar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kalmar in this match.
Result | ||
Kalmar | Draw | Elfsborg |
44.95% ( 5.48) | 26.12% ( -0.79) | 28.93% ( -4.69) |
Both teams to score 51.47% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.35% ( 1.58) | 52.65% ( -1.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.7% ( 1.34) | 74.3% ( -1.34) |
Kalmar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 3.52) | 23.34% ( -3.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.69% ( 4.87) | 57.31% ( -4.87) |
Elfsborg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% ( -2.48) | 32.85% ( 2.48) |