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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 3 | 39 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 29 | 0 | 36 |
| 6 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 29 | -12 | 34 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Los Angeles FC | 29 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Austin FC | 29 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 46 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 59.95%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Austin FC |
| 59.95% ( | 21.48% ( | 18.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.21% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( | 43.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( | 65.6% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( | 14.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.46% ( | 41.54% ( |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.04% ( | 36.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.25% ( | 73.75% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Austin FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.17% ( 2-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 3-1 @ 6.52% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 4-0 @ 3.22% ( 4-1 @ 3.21% ( 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 5-1 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 59.94% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 2-2 @ 4.95% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.47% | 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 2-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 22 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 21 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 18 |
| 6 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | DC United | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 13 |
| 15 | Toronto | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 13 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 22 |
| 3 | Dallas | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 22 |
| 4 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 16 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Houston DynamoHouston | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 9 |
