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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | -10 | 34 |
| 6 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | -9 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 29 | -10 | 32 |
| 8 | Houston Dynamo | 28 | -11 | 29 |
| 9 | Sporting Kansas City | 28 | -14 | 29 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 62.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.34%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 62.25% ( | 20.81% ( | 16.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.22% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.08% ( | 42.92% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.68% ( | 65.32% ( |
| Seattle Sounders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.77% ( | 13.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.02% ( | 39.98% ( |
| Houston Dynamo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.33% ( | 38.67% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.59% ( | 75.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Seattle Sounders | Draw | Houston Dynamo |
| 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 1-0 @ 10.34% ( 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 3-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 6.71% 4-0 @ 3.57% ( 4-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 5-0 @ 1.44% ( 5-1 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.16% Total : 62.24% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.81% | 0-1 @ 4.86% ( 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 1-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.94% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 24 |
| 3 | Nashville SCNashville | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 19 |
| 4 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 15 |
| 7 | DC United | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | New York City FCNY City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 15 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 15 |
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 15 |
| 12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 15 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 12 |
| 15 | Toronto | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 21 |
| 3 | St Louis City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Dallas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 19 |
| 5 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Portland TimbersPortland | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 12 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 11 |
| 12 | Austin FCAustin | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 10 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 9 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 6 |
