Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Elfsborg and Kalmar.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.
