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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 30 | 42 | 60 | 
| 2 | CF Montreal | 30 | 10 | 53 | 
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | New York City FC | 30 | 14 | 46 | 
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | -5 | 42 | 
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 6 | 41 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City | 
| 62.68% (  -0.52) | 20.81% (  -0.03) | 16.51% (  0.54) | 
| Both teams to score 52.25% (  1.28) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 56.27% (  1.1) | 43.73% (  -1.1) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.88% (  1.06) | 66.12% (  -1.07) | 
| Philadelphia Union Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 86.64% (  0.19) | 13.35% (  -0.19) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.76% (  0.38) | 40.23% (  -0.38) | 
| Orlando City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 60.31% (  1.35) | 39.69% (  -1.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.63% (  1.22) | 76.36% (  -1.23) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Philadelphia Union | Draw | Orlando City | 
| 2-0 @ 10.74% (  -0.36) 1-0 @ 10.66% (  -0.45) 2-1 @ 9.93% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 7.21% (  -0.19) 3-1 @ 6.66% (  0.07) 4-0 @ 3.63% (  -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.35% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 3.08% (  0.14) 4-2 @ 1.55% (  0.08) 5-0 @ 1.46% (  -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.35% (  0.03) Other @ 3.04% Total : 62.67% | 1-1 @ 9.86% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.3% (  -0.26) 2-2 @ 4.59% (  0.18) 3-3 @ 0.95% (  0.08) Other @ 0.12% Total : 20.81% | 0-1 @ 4.9% (  -0.05) 1-2 @ 4.56% (  0.15) 0-2 @ 2.26% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 1.41% (  0.11) 1-3 @ 1.4% (  0.1) Other @ 1.98% Total : 16.51% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | New England RevolutionNew England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 
| 2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 
| 3 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 
| 4 | Orlando City | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 
| 5 | Columbus Crew | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 
| 6 | Nashville SCNashville | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 
| 7 | New York City FCNY City | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 | 
| 8 | Toronto | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 
| 9 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 
| 10 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 
| 11 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 
| 13 | DC United | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4 | 
| 14 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 | 
| 15 | CF MontrealMontreal | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 
| 4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 
| 5 | Dallas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 
| 6 | Austin FCAustin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 7 | 
| 7 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 7 | 
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 6 | 
| 9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 4 | 
| 10 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | 
| 11 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | 
| 12 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 3 | 
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 | 
| 14 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
