Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 34.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.
