| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Estoril Praia | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Arouca | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Vitoria de Guimaraes | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Boavista | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 5 | 2 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 38.94%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (11.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Boavista |
| 38.94% ( | 28.98% ( | 32.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.53% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.94% ( | 62.05% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.22% ( | 81.77% ( |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( | 30.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.74% ( | 67.26% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% ( | 35.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.74% ( | 72.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Arouca | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 12.88% ( 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 3-1 @ 3.06% ( 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 3-2 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 3.09% Total : 38.94% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 2-2 @ 4.05% ( Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 1-2 @ 6.91% ( 0-2 @ 5.9% ( 1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.07% Total : 32.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 58 | 13 | 45 | 62 |
| 2 | Porto | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 14 | 35 | 51 |
| 3 | Braga | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 49 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 44 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 37 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 34 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 32 |
| 8 | BoavistaBoavista | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 30 |
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 27 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 27 |
| 11 | Vizela | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 26 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | ChavesChaves | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 22 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 16 |
| 17 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 15 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 40 | -24 | 12 |
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