Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Avai and Athletico Paranaense.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juventude 1-1 Avai
Saturday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 3 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Coritiba | 25 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Avai | 25 | -14 | 24 |
| 19 | Atletico Goianiense | 25 | -15 | 22 |
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-2 Athletico PR
Wednesday, September 7 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, September 7 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Corinthians | 25 | 5 | 43 |
| 6 | Athletico Paranaense | 25 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 26 | 5 | 40 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avai win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avai win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Avai | Draw | Athletico Paranaense |
48.79% ( 0.13) | 27.12% ( -0.07) | 24.09% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 44.95% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
