Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 38.97%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 35.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
35.93% (![]() | 25.09% | 38.97% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.36% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.86% (![]() | 46.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.56% (![]() | 68.43% (![]() |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% (![]() | 25.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% (![]() | 59.76% (![]() |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% (![]() | 23.44% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.55% (![]() | 57.45% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.13% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.62% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.73% 3-0 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.3% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.94% | 1-1 @ 11.79% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.08% | 1-2 @ 8.56% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.53% 0-2 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.14% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 |
9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |