

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 61.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 15.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.37%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Osasuna |
| 61.73% ( | 22.63% ( | 15.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.3% ( | 52.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.66% ( | 74.34% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.37% ( | 16.63% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.54% ( | 46.46% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.78% ( | 46.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.1% ( | 81.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% ( 2-0 @ 12.37% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 3-0 @ 7.4% ( 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.74% Total : 61.72% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 0-0 @ 7.69% ( 2-2 @ 3.68% ( Other @ 0.62% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.93% ( 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0-2 @ 2.29% ( 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 2-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 1.31% Total : 15.64% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
