

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 53.61%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 53.61% (  -0.01) | 24.99% (  0) | 21.4% (  0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 47.8% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 46.03% (  -0.01) | 53.97% (  0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 24.59% (  -0) | 75.41% (  0) | 
| Real Sociedad Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.89% (  -0) | 20.11% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.64% (  -0.01) | 52.36% (  0.01) | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 59.83% (  0) | 40.17% (  -0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.19% | 76.81% (  0) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 1-0 @ 12.95% 2-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 9.48% 3-0 @ 5.56% (  -0) 3-1 @ 5.07% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.31% (  -0) 4-0 @ 2.23% (  -0) 4-1 @ 2.03% (  -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 0-0 @ 8.08% (  0) 2-2 @ 4.32% Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.37% (  0) 1-2 @ 5.39% (  0) 0-2 @ 3.36% (  0) 1-3 @ 1.64% 2-3 @ 1.31% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.31% Total : 21.4% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
