

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 39.06% (  0.16) | 27.69% (  0.01) | 33.26% (  -0.18) | 
| Both teams to score 48.45% (  -0.09) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.69% (  -0.09) | 57.31% (  0.09) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.86% (  -0.07) | 78.14% (  0.07) | 
| Osasuna Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.44% (  0.05) | 28.56% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.65% (  0.06) | 64.35% (  -0.07) | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.82% (  -0.17) | 32.18% (  0.16) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.33% (  -0.19) | 68.67% (  0.19) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Osasuna | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 1-0 @ 11.51% (  0.05) 2-1 @ 8.18% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 7.22% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 3.42% (  0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 1.94% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.07% (  0) 4-0 @ 0.95% (  0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 39.05% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.19% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 4.64% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.68% | 0-1 @ 10.42% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% (  -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.91% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.8% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.23% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.75% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 33.26% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
