

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.02%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 18.03% ( | 25.43% ( | 56.54% ( |
| Both teams to score 41.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.76% ( | 59.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.34% ( | 79.65% ( |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.97% ( | 47.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.49% ( | 82.5% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.97% ( | 21.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.18% ( | 53.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 2-1 @ 4.39% ( 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 3-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.26% Total : 18.03% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0-0 @ 9.89% ( 2-2 @ 3.42% ( Other @ 0.48% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 15.41% ( 0-2 @ 12.02% ( 1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0-3 @ 6.25% ( 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0-4 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.78% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 56.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
