La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 11, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Almeria1 - 3Real Sociedad
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Almeria
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, November 5 at 1pm in La Liga
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Benfica
Wednesday, November 8 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Wednesday, November 8 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We said: Almeria 0-2 Real Sociedad
Almeria are a very, very difficult team to back, and we are finding it tough to predict anything other than an away win here. Almeria will be the fresher of the two teams, but Real Sociedad should have enough quality to secure all three points this weekend against statistically the worst side in the division. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 25.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.3%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Almeria win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Real Sociedad |
25.18% ( 0.02) | 26.19% ( 0.02) | 48.62% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.47% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
