

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.27%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 2-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 32.87% ( | 24.87% ( | 42.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.28% ( | 45.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.96% ( | 68.05% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( | 26.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.07% ( | 61.93% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( | 21.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.23% ( | 54.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 1-0 @ 7.63% ( 2-0 @ 5.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 4-1 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.87% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0-2 @ 6.76% ( 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 2-3 @ 3.01% ( 1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 42.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 88 | 32 | 56 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 66 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 15 | 12 | 4 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 57 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 48 |
| 7 | Mallorca | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 44 |
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 12 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 41 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 32 | 9 | 14 | 9 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
| 12 | Getafe | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 39 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
| 14 | Valencia | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 38 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 34 |
| 17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 52 | -14 | 32 |
| 18 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 30 |
| 19 | Leganes | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 29 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 23 | 76 | -53 | 16 |
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