| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 | 
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 | 
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 | 
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad | 
| 44.85% (  -1.83) | 25.24% (  0.47) | 29.92% (  1.36) | 
| Both teams to score 54.84% (  -0.72) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.47% (  -1.32) | 48.52% (  1.32) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.35% (  -1.22) | 70.65% (  1.22) | 
| Villarreal Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.36% (  -1.35) | 21.64% (  1.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.24% (  -2.12) | 54.76% (  2.11) | 
| Real Sociedad Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.99% (  0.29) | 30.01% (  -0.29) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.86% (  0.35) | 66.13% (  -0.35) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad | 
| 1-0 @ 9.94% (  0.13) 2-1 @ 9.16% (  -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.61% (  -0.21) 3-1 @ 4.67% (  -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.88% (  -0.28) 3-2 @ 2.81% (  -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.79% (  -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.49% (  -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.08% (  -0.11) Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 11.96% (  0.26) 0-0 @ 6.49% (  0.35) 2-2 @ 5.51% (  -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.13% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.82% (  0.48) 1-2 @ 7.2% (  0.21) 0-2 @ 4.7% (  0.32) 1-3 @ 2.89% (  0.11) 2-3 @ 2.21% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.89% (  0.14) Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.92% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 9 | 44 | 71 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 56 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 51 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 48 | 
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 45 | 
| 6 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 41 | 
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 37 | 
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 | 
| 9 | Osasuna | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 35 | 
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 34 | 
| 11 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 34 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 33 | 
| 13 | Sevilla | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 31 | 
| 14 | Getafe | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 30 | 
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 28 | 
| 16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 28 | 
| 17 | Espanyol | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 27 | 
| 18 | Valencia | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 26 | 
| 19 | Almeria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 | 
| 20 | ElcheElche | 27 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 55 | -36 | 13 | 
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