| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.85%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 44.85% ( | 25.24% ( | 29.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.47% ( | 48.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.35% ( | 70.65% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( | 21.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.24% ( | 54.76% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.99% ( | 30.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.86% ( | 66.13% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.85% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 29.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 9 | 44 | 71 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 56 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 51 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 48 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 45 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 41 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 37 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 35 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Getafe | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 28 |
| 17 | Espanyol | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Valencia | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 26 |
| 19 | Almeria | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 26 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 27 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 55 | -36 | 13 |
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