

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 39.45%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 33.43% | 27.12% | 39.45% |
| Both teams to score 50.21% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% | 55.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% | 76.36% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% | 30.95% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.76% | 67.25% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% | 27.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.28% | 62.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 5.81% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 3.04% Total : 33.43% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.45% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 8.35% 0-2 @ 7.12% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.12% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.01% Total : 39.45% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | GironaGirona | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 28 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 24 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 15 | 22 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 17 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Valencia | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Real BetisBetis | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Getafe | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 | Villarreal | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
| 19 | Granada | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 6 |
| 20 | Almeria | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 31 | -17 | 3 |
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