

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 | 
| 18 | Granada | 38 | -17 | 38 | 
| 19 | Levante | 38 | -25 | 35 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 | 
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 | 
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Granada had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 33.62% | 27.98% | 38.41% | 
| Both teams to score 47.67% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 41.68% | 58.33% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.06% | 78.95% | 
| Granada Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.55% | 32.46% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.02% | 68.98% | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.57% | 29.43% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.57% | 65.43% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Granada | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 1-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 7.4% 2-0 @ 6.05% 3-1 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.68% Total : 33.62%  | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.97%  | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.4%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 | 
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 | 
| 10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 | 
| 11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 | 
| 12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 | 
| 13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 | 
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 | 
| 15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 | 
| 17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 | 
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 | 
| R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 | 
| R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 | 
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