| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 | 
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 | 
| 13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 | 
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 32.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia | 
| 39.51% | 27.76% | 32.73% | 
| Both teams to score 48.14% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.35% | 57.65% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 21.59% | 78.41% | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.54% | 28.46% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.77% | 64.23% | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.29% | 32.71% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.74% | 69.27% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Valencia | 
| 1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 8.21% 2-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.08% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.76% Total : 39.51% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 4.59% Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.75% | 0-1 @ 10.4% 1-2 @ 7.3% 0-2 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.73% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 9 | 44 | 71 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 57 | 21 | 36 | 59 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 54 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 48 | 
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 45 | 
| 6 | Villarreal | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 44 | 
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 37 | 
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 37 | 
| 9 | Osasuna | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 35 | 
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 | 
| 11 | GironaGirona | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 34 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 33 | 
| 13 | Sevilla | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 31 | 
| 14 | Getafe | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 30 | 
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 28 | 
| 16 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 28 | 
| 17 | Almeria | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 27 | 
| 18 | Valencia | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 27 | 
| 19 | Espanyol | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 27 | 
| 20 | ElcheElche | 27 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 55 | -36 | 13 | 
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