

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| 4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 46.33% ( | 25.71% ( | 27.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.47% ( | 51.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.67% ( | 73.33% ( |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.78% ( | 22.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.35% ( | 55.65% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% ( | 33.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.4% ( | 69.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 2-0 @ 8.3% 3-1 @ 4.61% ( 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-2 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 46.33% | 1-1 @ 12.22% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 3-3 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 4.51% ( 1-3 @ 2.5% 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.49% Total : 27.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
| 2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
| 10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
| R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
| R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
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