

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 25.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sevilla.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 47.86% | 26.51% | 25.63% |
| Both teams to score 47.97% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.96% | 56.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% | 77.13% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.56% | 23.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.55% | 57.45% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.66% | 37.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.87% | 74.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% 2-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.62% 4-1 @ 1.59% Other @ 2.67% Total : 47.86% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 8.76% 2-2 @ 4.47% Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 8.62% 1-2 @ 6.16% 0-2 @ 4.25% 1-3 @ 2.02% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
| 2 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
| 9 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
| 10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
| 13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
| 14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
| R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
| R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
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