La Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes
Granada2 - 3Villarreal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Granada
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Friday, October 20 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Sunday, October 22 at 5.30pm in La Liga
We said: Granada 2-2 Villarreal
Villarreal are difficult to back at the moment, and we can see the points being shared here. Granada actually held Barcelona to a draw before the international break, and they have lost just one of their last four matches at home, so we are expecting the spoils to be shared in Monday's fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.17%. A win for Granada had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Villarreal |
30.53% ( 1.62) | 26.3% ( 0.96) | 43.17% ( -2.58) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -2.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
