

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Girona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona | 
| 46.62% (  0.06) | 23.47% (  -0.11) | 29.91% (  0.05) | 
| Both teams to score 60.92% (  0.43) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.45% (  0.54) | 40.55% (  -0.55) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.07% (  0.56) | 62.93% (  -0.56) | 
| Villarreal Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.33% (  0.23) | 17.67% (  -0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.7% (  0.41) | 48.29% (  -0.41) | 
| Girona Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.99% (  0.3) | 26.01% (  -0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.96% (  0.41) | 61.03% (  -0.41) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona | 
| 2-1 @ 9.3% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.97% (  -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.9% (  -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.37% (  0.04) 3-0 @ 3.99% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.62% (  0.06) 4-1 @ 2.33% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 1.73% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.57% (  0.04) Other @ 3.85% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 10.72% (  -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.26% (  0.05) 0-0 @ 4.6% (  -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.62% (  0.04) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.22% (  0) 0-1 @ 6.19% (  -0.1) 0-2 @ 4.17% (  -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.24% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 2.81% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 1.87% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.09% (  0.02) 2-4 @ 0.95% (  0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.91% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 79 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 69 | 33 | 36 | 75 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 67 | 
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 61 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 47 | 13 | 58 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 52 | 42 | 10 | 57 | 
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 47 | 
| 8 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 46 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 45 | 
| 10 | Osasuna | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 44 | 
| 11 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 44 | 
| 12 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 43 | 
| 13 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 39 | 
| 14 | Espanyol | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 | 
| 15 | Sevilla | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 38 | 
| 16 | GironaGirona | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 38 | 
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 35 | 
| 18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 32 | 
| 19 | Leganes | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 31 | 
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 83 | -58 | 16 | 
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