

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal | 
| 32.69% (  -0.49) | 28.19% (  -0.04) | 39.11% (  0.53) | 
| Both teams to score 46.86% (  0.01) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.76% (  0.06) | 59.24% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.34% (  0.05) | 79.65% (  -0.05) | 
| Mallorca Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.43% (  -0.31) | 33.57% (  0.31) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.79% (  -0.34) | 70.21% (  0.33) | 
| Villarreal Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.53% (  0.34) | 29.46% (  -0.35) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.53% (  0.42) | 65.47% (  -0.42) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Mallorca | Draw | Villarreal | 
| 1-0 @ 10.79% (  -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.2% (  -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.89% (  -0.11) 3-1 @ 2.62% (  -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.14% (  -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.6% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 32.69% | 1-1 @ 13.19% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.89% (  -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 12.08% (  0.08) 1-2 @ 8.06% (  0.07) 0-2 @ 7.38% (  0.12) 1-3 @ 3.28% (  0.06) 0-3 @ 3.01% (  0.08) 2-3 @ 1.79% (  0.02) 1-4 @ 1% (  0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% (  0.03) Other @ 1.58% Total : 39.11% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
