Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad - Copa del Rey Quarter-Finals - Football

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Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa del Rey clash between Celta Vigo and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

de la Torre (90+2')
Douvikas (45+2'), Nunez (74'), Ristic (90+4'), Strand Larsen (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Oyarzabal (2'), Becker (66')
Merino (65'), Magunacelaya (90+5')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Copa del Rey

Last Game: Celta Vigo 0-1 Real Sociedad
Saturday, January 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 1-2 Real Sociedad

Like Saturday's encounter, we expect the quarter-final tie to produce a close-fought contest, but after winning their last five away games against Celta Vigo, we think that Real Sociedad should do enough to enjoy another successful outing at Balaidos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.25%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.52%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Sociedad in this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Sociedad
36.25% ( -1.09)	28.98% ( 0.06)	34.77% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 44.91% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.23% (

-0.14)

61.77% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.43% (

-0.11)

81.57% (

0.11)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.51% (

-0.76)

32.49% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.98% (

-0.87)

69.02% (

0.87)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.53% (

0.63)

33.47% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.9% (

0.68)

70.1% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 36.25%

Real Sociedad 34.76%

Draw 28.97%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.22% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.7% Total : 36.25%	1-1 @ 13.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.97%	0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 6.51% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.48% Total : 34.76%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Real Sociedad

Celta Vigo

17.5%

Draw

17.5%

Real Sociedad

65.0%

Head to Head

Jan 20, 2024 8pm

Gameweek 21

0-1

Rodriguez (15')

Mendez (11')
Aramburu (30'), Merino (84')

Aug 19, 2023 4pm

Gameweek 2

1-1

Barrenetxea (22')
Zubimendi (40'), Le Normand (69')

Mingueza (90+4')
Aspas (51')

Feb 18, 2023 1pm

Gameweek 22

1-1

Oyarzabal (5')

Le Normand (90+3' og.)

Oct 16, 2022 1pm

Gameweek 9

1-2

Aspas (39')

Illarramendi (30'), Zubeldia (54')

Jan 8, 2022 3.15pm

Gameweek 20

1-0

Oyarzabal (13')
Portu (43'), Elustondo (64'), Merino (90+1')

Mina (30'), Aspas (72'), Galhardo (73')