

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 44.6%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 44.6% (  0.38) | 29.85% (  0.18) | 25.55% (  -0.55) | 
| Both teams to score 39.46% (  -0.76) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 33.18% (  -0.75) | 66.81% (  0.75) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 14.86% (  -0.51) | 85.14% (  0.51) | 
| Getafe Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.88% (  -0.17) | 30.12% (  0.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.74% (  -0.2) | 66.26% (  0.21) | 
| Rayo Vallecano Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.46% (  -0.94) | 43.54% (  0.94) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.26% (  -0.79) | 79.74% (  0.79) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Getafe | Draw | Rayo Vallecano | 
| 1-0 @ 15.73% (  0.35) 2-0 @ 9.44% (  0.17) 2-1 @ 7.85% (  -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.78% (  0.05) 3-1 @ 3.14% (  -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.31% (  -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.13% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% (  -0.02) Other @ 1.27% Total : 44.59% | 0-0 @ 13.11% (  0.36) 1-1 @ 13.08% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.26% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.39% Total : 29.84% | 0-1 @ 10.9% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 5.44% (  -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.53% (  -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.51% (  -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.26% (  -0.06) 2-3 @ 0.91% (  -0.05) Other @ 1% Total : 25.55% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 | 
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 | 
| 3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 | 
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 | 
| 5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 | 
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 | 
| 7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 | 
| 8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 | 
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 | 
| 10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 | 
| 11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 | 
| 12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 | 
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 | 
| 14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 | 
| 15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 | 
| 16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 | 
| 17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 | 
| R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 | 
| R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 | 
| R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
