La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
We said: Osasuna 2-1 Celta Vigo
Celta are better than what they have shown this season, with the Sky Blues having a lot of quality in the forward positions, but Osasuna are an improving side, winning two of their last four league games and suffering just one loss, and we are backing the home side to secure all three points here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result |
| Osasuna | Draw | Celta Vigo |
39.31% ( -0.1) | 27.89% ( -0.16) | 32.8% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( 0.53) |
| 41.88% ( 0.63) | 58.12% ( -0.63) |
| 21.22% ( 0.5) | 78.79% ( -0.49) |
| 71.2% ( 0.25) | 28.8% ( -0.25) |
