

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Osasuna |
| 50.83% ( | 24.38% ( | 24.78% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.66% ( | 48.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.52% ( | 70.48% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( | 19.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.41% ( | 50.59% ( |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.13% ( | 33.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.46% ( | 70.54% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 2-0 @ 8.87% ( 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 3-0 @ 4.91% ( 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.13% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 1-2 @ 6.27% ( 0-2 @ 3.78% ( 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 2.27% Total : 24.78% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 33 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 32 | 57 | 76 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 66 | 31 | 35 | 72 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 53 | 27 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 60 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 52 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 51 |
| 7 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 46 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 44 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 44 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 42 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 39 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 39 |
| 14 | Valencia | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 37 |
| 16 | GironaGirona | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 35 |
| 17 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 34 |
| 18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 32 |
| 19 | Leganes | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 32 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 23 | 76 | -53 | 16 |
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