Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
57.39% (![]() | 22.02% (![]() | 20.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.89% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.35% (![]() | 42.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.95% (![]() | 65.05% (![]() |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.37% (![]() | 14.63% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.25% (![]() | 42.75% (![]() |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% (![]() | 34.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.75% (![]() | 71.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Sevilla |
2-1 @ 9.92% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.71% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.33% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 57.39% | 1-1 @ 10.32% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.01% | 1-2 @ 5.49% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.05% Total : 20.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |