

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Woking win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Woking win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Woking | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 43.92% ( | 25.14% ( | 30.93% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.33% ( | 47.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.13% ( | 69.87% ( |
| Woking Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( | 21.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.14% ( | 54.86% ( |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( | 28.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.24% ( | 64.76% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Woking | Draw | Hartlepool United |
| 1-0 @ 9.58% ( 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 3-1 @ 4.63% ( 3-0 @ 3.73% ( 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 4-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.43% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.79% ( 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 1-3 @ 3.06% ( 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 2% ( 1-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 30.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 32 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 38 | 41 | 81 |
| 2 | Bromley | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Barnet | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 45 | 14 | 56 |
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 52 |
| 5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 50 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 48 |
| 7 | Gateshead | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 41 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 39 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 38 |
| 17 | York City | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 37 |
| 18 | Fylde | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 35 |
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 34 |
| 20 | Woking | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
| 21 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 34 |
| 22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 32 |
| 23 | Ebbsfleet | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
| 24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 45 | 68 | -23 | 27 |
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