

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.62%. A draw has a probability of 18.3% and a win for Ebbsfleet has a probability of 15.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Ebbsfleet win it is 1-2 (4.26%).
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 66.62% ( | 18.27% ( | 15.11% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( | 34.6% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.46% ( | 56.54% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.37% ( | 9.64% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.82% ( | 32.18% ( |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.22% ( | 35.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.45% ( | 72.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 3-1 @ 7.56% ( 3-0 @ 7.36% ( 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-2 @ 3.89% ( 4-2 @ 2.27% ( 5-1 @ 2.07% ( 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 5-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 4.46% Total : 66.62% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 18.27% | 1-2 @ 4.26% ( 0-1 @ 3.54% ( 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.71% ( 1-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 15.11% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 32 | 26 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 38 | 41 | 81 |
| 2 | Bromley | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 58 |
| 3 | Barnet | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 45 | 14 | 56 |
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 52 |
| 5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 50 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 56 | 57 | -1 | 48 |
| 7 | Gateshead | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Rochdale | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 33 | 12 | 5 | 16 | 50 | 59 | -9 | 41 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 40 |
| 13 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 40 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Eastleigh | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 53 | 64 | -11 | 39 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 38 |
| 17 | York City | 31 | 8 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 37 |
| 18 | Fylde | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 35 |
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 44 | 33 | 11 | 34 |
| 20 | Woking | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
| 21 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 34 |
| 22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 32 |
| 23 | Ebbsfleet | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
| 24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 45 | 68 | -23 | 27 |
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