Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Chesterfield |
41.16% (![]() | 24.17% (![]() | 34.67% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.97% (![]() | 42.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.56% (![]() | 64.43% (![]() |
Ebbsfleet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.41% (![]() | 20.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.87% (![]() | 53.12% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% (![]() | 23.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.93% (![]() | 58.07% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ebbsfleet | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 8.79% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.77% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.63% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.31% 4-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 2.86% Total : 41.16% | 1-1 @ 11.12% 2-2 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.91% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 7.97% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 |
2 | Barnet | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 |
6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 |
7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 |
9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 |
12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 |
15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 |
16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 |
17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 |
18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 |
19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 |
20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 |
21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 |
23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 |
24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 |
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