Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 62.72%. A draw has a probability of 20.2% and a win for Southend United has a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Southend United win it is 1-2 (4.73%).
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United | 
| 62.72% (  -3.79) | 20.19% (  1.58) | 17.08% (  2.21) | 
| Both teams to score 55.66% (  -0.43) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 60.15% (  -3.05) | 39.84% (  3.04) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.79% (  -3.23) | 62.2% (  3.23) | 
| Chesterfield Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.85% (  -1.88) | 12.14% (  1.87) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.26% (  -4.11) | 37.74% (  4.1) | 
| Southend United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.36% (  0.84) | 36.64% (  -0.85) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.57% (  0.84) | 73.42% (  -0.85) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Chesterfield | Draw | Southend United | 
| 2-1 @ 9.93% (  0.15) 2-0 @ 9.89% (  -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.38% (  0.62) 3-1 @ 6.98% (  -0.44) 3-0 @ 6.95% (  -0.62) 4-1 @ 3.68% (  -0.55) 4-0 @ 3.66% (  -0.64) 3-2 @ 3.5% (  -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.85% (  -0.23) 5-1 @ 1.55% (  -0.37) 5-0 @ 1.55% (  -0.42) Other @ 3.8% Total : 62.72% | 1-1 @ 9.42% (  0.82) 2-2 @ 4.99% (  0.19) 0-0 @ 4.45% (  0.6) 3-3 @ 1.17% (  -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.19% | 1-2 @ 4.73% (  0.51) 0-1 @ 4.47% (  0.69) 0-2 @ 2.24% (  0.39) 2-3 @ 1.67% (  0.1) 1-3 @ 1.58% (  0.2) Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.08% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 | 
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 | 
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 | 
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 | 
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 | 
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 | 
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 | 
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 | 
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 | 
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | 
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 | 
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 | 
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 | 
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 | 
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 | 
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 | 
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 | 
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