Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 56.06%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 22.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.01%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Southend United win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnet in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Barnet.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
| 56.06% | 21.38% ( | 22.56% |
| Both teams to score 61.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.88% ( | 37.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.69% ( | 59.31% ( |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( | 13.2% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.07% ( | 39.92% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( | 29.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.35% ( | 65.64% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 1-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 6.58% 3-0 @ 5.41% 3-2 @ 4.01% ( 4-1 @ 3.33% 4-0 @ 2.74% 4-2 @ 2.03% ( 5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.82% Total : 56.06% | 1-1 @ 9.63% 2-2 @ 5.94% 0-0 @ 3.91% 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.38% | 1-2 @ 5.86% 0-1 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.41% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.09% Total : 22.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 34 | 34 | 68 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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