Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
