Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
37.58% | 26.08% | 36.34% |
Both teams to score 53.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.48% | 50.52% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.56% | 72.44% |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.81% | 26.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.72% | 61.27% |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.1% | 26.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.78% | 62.21% |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.32% 3-1 @ 3.71% 3-0 @ 2.82% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.24% 4-0 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.04% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.25% 1-2 @ 8.14% 0-2 @ 6.07% 1-3 @ 3.56% 0-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.39% 1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 36 | 27 | 7 | 2 | 94 | 34 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Notts County | 36 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 84 |
3 | Woking | 36 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 38 | 22 | 65 |
4 | Chesterfield | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
5 | Barnet | 35 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 66 | 59 | 7 | 59 |
6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 58 |
7 | Eastleigh | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 57 |
8 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 53 |
9 | Bromley | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 52 |
10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 52 |
11 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 15 | 6 | 15 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 51 |
12 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 52 | 1 | 48 |
13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 46 |
14 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 44 |
15 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 40 | 49 | -9 | 43 |
16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 42 |
17 | York City | 36 | 10 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 39 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 39 |
19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 78 | -28 | 37 |
20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 36 |
21 | Gateshead | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 33 |
22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 41 | 64 | -23 | 30 |
23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 41 | 67 | -26 | 30 |
24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 39 | 79 | -40 | 24 |
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