Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 32.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
