Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
