Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 32.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wrexham | Draw | Notts County |
32.52% | 25.73% | 41.75% |
Both teams to score 54.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.36% | 49.64% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.34% | 71.66% |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.18% | 28.82% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.33% | 64.67% |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.41% | 23.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.34% | 57.65% |
Score Analysis |
Wrexham | Draw | Notts County |
1-0 @ 8.46% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 5.26% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.28% 3-0 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.52% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 9.82% 1-2 @ 8.82% 0-2 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 2.64% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 |
4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 |
5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 |
8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 |
9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 |
15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 |
18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 |
20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 |
22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 |
23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 |
24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 |
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