Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 27.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
