Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (8.16%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
