

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 51.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 51.06% | 24.7% | 24.24% |
| Both teams to score 52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.89% | 50.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.93% | 72.07% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.38% | 19.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.43% | 51.57% |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.7% | 35.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.94% | 72.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Eastleigh |
| 1-0 @ 11.28% 2-1 @ 9.56% 2-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 5.19% 3-0 @ 4.99% 3-2 @ 2.7% 4-1 @ 2.11% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.9% Total : 51.06% | 1-1 @ 11.74% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.21% 1-2 @ 6.12% 0-2 @ 3.76% 1-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.73% 0-3 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.01% Total : 24.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 33 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Bromley | 28 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 56 |
| 3 | Barnet | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 57 | 40 | 17 | 55 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
| 6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Rochdale | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 41 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 40 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 40 |
| 10 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 44 | 28 | 16 | 34 |
| 13 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 33 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
| 16 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 28 | 9 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 30 |
| 18 | York City | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 30 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Woking | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 27 |
| 22 | Fylde | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 25 |
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 24 |
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 20 |
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